The end of apps as we know them
This is such a paradigm shift it requires plenty of explaining… Imagine a vertical stream of cards, individually personalised and ranked based on who and what you care about, your current context (location, availability, etc.)…
This is exactly what Castpoints does on it’s home screen! This is still centered on apps, but with attention more directly focused on information, not the app. We all offer and want things, and want to easily know the status and location of our stuff. General purpose organizational apps will be superseded a framework that correctly presents the most valuable info in the most valuable way 80% of the time. Remaining apps will help people create apps that directly add value.
The 3 critical questions:
Will this happen at the app, notification, or OS level?
One of the biggest challenges will be whether these experiences will occur:
- Not as notifications — their purpose is to get attention. No ownership involved.
- Not at the OS level — its purpose is to run the device. Who owns that anyway? Not the user.
- At the app level so that ownership is protected and security is not compromised.
Will this be one consolidated stream, or multiple streams?
Maybe we will have a friends stream, a news stream, a work stream.
A consolidation of multiple streams.
Will this be owned at a company level?
People own their work, events own the aggregation of peoples work.
“Peacekeeper is an organization that builds and advocates voluntary systems of emergency protection. It is based on the belief that private individuals are the most superior means of protection within their communities.” They already have an app.
First Responder Network Authority was created in created in February, 2012 and, authorized to use $7 billion. Unfortunately they are trying to rebuild the internet, cell phones, and laptops. Fail. Their ponderous about page.
The whole peer to peer sharing economy popularized by Rachel Botsman.
I define the collaborative economy as a system that activates the untapped value of all kinds of assets through models and marketplaces that enable greater efficiency and access.
Snippets from Tim O’Reilly’s presentation By People, For People that cry out for Castpoints
- “We know about all these new technologies. What we don’t know is how to organize ourselves to use them effectively.” — An IT executive at Fidelity
- “Software is a process and a performance, not an artifact.”
- “The true essence of DevOps is empathy.” — Jeff Sussna
- “Learning to prioritize people and their needs will be a long slog.” Consider: People themselves barely know what their true “needs” are. Who are we to define what another “needs”? Provide a framework so that what they really want blatantly and profitably emerges from their typical activities.
- ~”Big difference between paying attention to exploit vs. ability to make a real difference.” Consider making it distributed and direct. Provide a framework so that anyone can help anyone else add value, and both are paid without worry of exploitation.
Numenta’s sophisticated machine learning techniques that analyze streaming data. Numenta and CP employ the same initial concepts: nodes, hierarchy, iteration, scope, incentive, roles, and feedback (implies persistence). The primary difference is that CP is abstracted one layer and so can work with any situation. I suspect it won’t be until Ray Kurtzwiel’s singularity that the meld of people and computers will supersede Castpoints.
Update November 2015
On the far left: one-to-one communication, like messaging. On the far right: one-to-many, like Twitter, or Facebook’s own News Feed… It has also somewhat faltered in the middle of that spectrum — the “many-to-many” category — where midsize groups ranging from book clubs to corporate organizations have largely been stuck using email as the best mode for their online interactions. But in a fundamental way, that appears to be changing… Facebook… More than 925 million people now use [Groups] each month… up from 850 million just three months ago. And about 60% of Facebook’s monthly active users are also Groups monthly active users, up from around 40% two years ago… Nextdoor… is active in 80,000 neighborhoods across the U.S., which … is almost half the 165,000 neighborhoods in the country. Nextdoor sees over 11 million messages created … every day… Small Social Is Here: Why Groups Are Finally Finding A Home Online
The Past and Future of Product Management suggests moving away from data toward customer, and ultimately toward “making connections”. The magic (technically: emergent properties) is in the connections!! But really it’s not about rules for managing data, nor customers because “People be crazy” (Porter Stansberry). It’s about doing the right thing within a context.