Voting proponent throws in the towel

Even “Vote Or Die” Movement Leader P.Diddy Admits “This Whole [Voting] $hit Is A Scam”

Voting is simply not a great way of communicating nor allocating resources. It’s a structural and scale issue. Small groups of people can use “voting” well enough because there are many of other things going on in the background. But once there are “a lot” of people voting for one person, there is no way to actually hold people accountable, on either end, since the distance between them (chance of interaction) is too great, and we can only have meaningful social interactions with about 150 people.

Communication modes:
Mature and effective within the proper context:
1) 1 to 1 (email)
2) 1 to many (TV, radio)
Not mature and not yet effective because there is no structure. It’s flat and so has little context.
3) ~Many individuals to many individuals (peer 2 peer)
Mature and terrible
4) Many to one (voting)
Grouping things requires structured relationships — a taxonomy. Once things are grouped, the groups can then effectively employ the top 3 communication strategies.

The simple solution: Mimic nature: group things. This is why fractals are everywhere in nature. Once things are grouped, they can effectively interact on any scale.

Screen Shot 2015-11-27 at 9.51.54 AM

Suppose fees are collected by the “city” at the point of sale. If people don’t like it, they can move to a different city! The city then negotiates with the state for goods and services. And the states negotiate with the feds. Now everyone is negotiating and competing with a manageable number of other people. These are structural checks and balances that are nearly impossible to game, not legislated, which are easy to game.

Why people’s laws don’t work: “They possess the power to write a law, but they lack the power to enforce it against the trend or human nature.” — Martin Armstrong

Why do nature’s laws work: Billions of years of evolution.

Advertisements

Why? “Google Shuts Down Maps Coordinate, Its Mobile Workforce Management Service”

This sounds like a good idea…

…tool for managing mobile workforces with the help of mobile apps and a web-based dashboard. Using Maps Coordinate, businesses could track and dispatch their mobile employees, whether they were truck drivers, pizza delivery guys or plumbers.

But for some reason did not pan out. Why? Seems like “…we’ll focus on helping customers deliver location information via our Maps APIs and shift away from selling any non-Maps API products.”

Sounds like there was not enough integration to make it useful. It’s easy to engender 1 motivated person. It’s very challenging to engender 1,000 motivated people, without invoking an external threat. People are different. Evolution’s way is a highly integrated peer 2 peer system. People need their own local environment / foundation / resources and response-ability to do what they do best, while interacting response-ably with non local entities.

You can have the greatest node / agent / whatever, but if it’s not connected with anything, it only has local value. And if the node is too connected, it can’t get anything done. This also shows why the intelligence of a network is mainly in the connections, not the nodes / agents. If an agent has intelligence, it likely has a lot of internal connections. So either the boundary of the node is too broad, or else it’s a larger scale node housing a network of smaller nodes and connections.

Universal notifications and alerts can be simple to manage

The current issues according to New Alerting Channels Have Proliferated But Challenges Remain

  • Changing technology; outdated tech; users that don’t Use new tech
  • Buying the right solution from many
  • Low sign up rates
  • No pre and post disaster communication.

This is all due to lack of integration. Nobody wants to sign up to a service for the weather, then earthquakes, then local police activity, potential flood conditions at a rental a town away, then add everything related to grandma.

The only system that will end up getting use is one that’s very integrated. Then I know and can trust where the alert is from. Alerts can be grouped so I can just subscribe to a towns usual basic alerts.

2 way, and multi way communication means I can interact with the source of the alerts, and or watch communication. This is a way for the issuer to answer questions without having to repeat info.

What about being notified that an alert is getting close. Gradation to prepare is important.

Role based so alerts don’t go to me personally, they go to my whole group so they can be managed by anyone in my group. Castpoints does all this and more.

Screen shots of Castpoints: Roles, trend visualization, ROI comparison, best practice suggestions

Home screen. Please keep in mind this is for use in disasters so things need to be simple and useable on a small cell phone browser.
home

An event’s home screen. Summaries of all resources are visible.

event_home

How about visualizing trends of aggregated resources? The spark lines show [months, weeks, days, hours]. Weekly rates of change are on the right.

Screen Shot 2015-02-01 at 8.13.55 AM

A role’s home screen. Notice its just a fractal of the home screen. All the spark lines are here too with a click of the % symbol. This is visible to all members of the role. Excellent situational awareness.

role home

Because everything is in a classification, search results provide context. Click any part of the classification (Biomes, Savana Trees, sub groups) to navigate different scopes.

Tags can be anything in the form of Label, Value (optional), Units (optional). Like everything else, they have a visibility scope of local role, role classification, event, and public. None are mutually exclusive. Examples:

  • Locations > Continents > Coasts > Airports > SFO
    • Control tower temp 88 °F
    • Control tower humidity 35%
  • Biomes > Savana > trees
    • Coast oaks
    • Life oaks
  • Education > School districts > Schools > Happy Valley > 3rd grad > Room 13
    • Present
    • Absent with temp 101 °F
    • Absent coughing

As the data is entered, it is automatically aggregated up in scope. The individual weather data points at the parent role now have a max, min, average, standard deviation. The savanna now has a 45 coast oaks and 24 live oaks. A map of absent kids, and the reasons why, can be seen at any scope, all while preserving privacy.

Every item has an ROI rank. The input costs and income are known, so ROI is obvious. ROI is ranked so that things in different classifications can be directly compared.


search tags

Because everything is in a classification, its trivial to request notifications about anything and any scope.  Notice the TRIGGER option. Any number of notifications can be linked based on any condition.

notifications

Another thing that can be automatic are suggestions. Castpoints keeps track of aggregate event, role, role classification, service, task and allocation statistics. Every day CP can compare your stuff with what other (aggregated)  proven high ROI events, roles, role classifications, services, and tasks and suggest specific action. These suggestions can be automatic. In other words, between suggestions and triggers, your event provides and automates much of the context necessary to get stuff done according to proven high ROI methods.

suggestions

Say you want to know the status of everything in your event? At the event level click on “Statuses” and you get something like this. Pretty cool! If there is in intruder, any leader can ping every other leader to update their status and location. Within seconds, everyone and police can know where a problem is and is not. School children can immediately be moved away from the area of trouble.statusHere with visualized trends. Since Castpoints is organized fractally, every role has a similar visualization.

status2

How to supersede politics using proper location labels and proper “taxation”

How are nations, states, counties, etc., borders determined? In general, the lines “should” follow topography and culture. But then Gerrymandering, wars, and general mayhem, usually about the economic and political wealth, define those lines.

Grouping things using boundaries is critical for providing context. Great, how to do it? And what’s really going on?

In Castpoints, locations can be defined by anyone with a high ROI rank. The definition includes typical things like shape and altitude, but also includes height, and importantly, a label that does not need to be unique. Once defined, it can’t be changed.

When people select locations for their items, they can have a range of choices and will mostly pick the one that will help them generate the most ROI. In other words, location designations are in competition, and the deciders are the ones with the most at stake.

If a nation has big political change, other nations have to decide the “legitimacy” of the new name. Its crazy politics. If 2 names are in competition, let them. But also let commerce flow without having to worry about labels.

“…commerce… with all nations, entangling alliances with none.” — Jefferson

Taxes (root: censure) are slavery. Kings like big kingdoms because that means a big tax base. Castpoints has no slavery. Fees are collected at the point of sale at the smallest subsidiarity (root: to help) level. Bigger municipalities can’t just take the money. They have to offer something in return. In Castpoints, everything is an order. So county A might offer a town XYZ. Adjacent county B might offer something similar. Neither order is executed until all the stipulations are met. This is how people “vote”. Everything is transparent, and everyone has performance bonds, so there is very little risk. This style of resource allocation has been partially validated.

A few simple changes allow decisions to move from fait kings to peers comparing ROI. That is the power of emergence, like the organized beauty of a snowflake.

Screen Shot 2015-01-06 at 11.54.53 AM

How a free market provides charity: Emergent dynamic pricing is simple and accurate

(Consider skimming Why trading with limits is preferred over typical auctions.~Less uncertainty, especially for the buyer. Supply AND demand is transparent and available.)

I want to set the stage first…

How do people know how to price things? Market research if you have money? Guessing if you are a small business? Castpoints makes pricing automatic, simple, and automatic — just like trading stocks. Both buyers and sellers indicate:

  • The number of things that can be sold within a timeframe.
  • The minimum and maximum transaction prices. For a seller, this can be the price they need to break even with a little profit.

Say transaction are happening at about 50.

A buyer in a hurry: buy limit 49 up to 52 good for 30 mins. This ensures the trade will very likely happen.
A buyer who can wait: buy limit 45 up to 47 good for 5 days. The buyer is waiting for a dip.

A seller in a hurry: sell limit 51 down to 48 good for 30 mins.
A seller who can wait: sell limit 55 up to 52 good for 5 days. The seller is waiting for a spike.

Now CP iterates every 6 seconds or so (the comfortable amount of time it takes for people to make a decision, and makes 10 data points per minute for pretty charts) and steps the prices away from the start price toward the ending price. If price overlaps, a transaction is executed.

This is awesome for a number of reasons.

  • Even if the market is illiquid, everyone has at least a basic idea of supply and demand.
  • Uncertainty is at the barest minimum.
  • Things are automatic. People don’t have to waste time being at the computer all day.

Lets add something even better. Say an excellent Chinese Medicine Dr. charges 150 but has a waiting list going out 3 months. That’s terrible for people who might have an emergency, and terrible for the Dr’s profitability. Obviously she is in high demand because she is excellent, but its tacky to charge high prices to sick people.

Capital flows to where its treated best, and this is not happening here which creates problems. Problem: This Dr is great. More capital should be flowing to her so that she can do more research or teach more people. She is not being properly valued, and so she can’t allocate value properly.

Solution: Default pricing in Castpoints splits goods and services in half. Half is a flat minimum fee, half is dynamic pricing. (Sellers can manually indicate the ratio of flat to dynamic.) Now, those with more time than money can get in line at an affordable price. And those with more money than time can be seen sooner. Also, the Dr will be making a lot more money, which she should.

This can add to reputation too. The difference between the flat fee and free market price is significant. The flat fee will float around the price of an average Dr in this field and in this location. A great Dr will have a high dynamic price. A great philanthropist Dr will have a low flat fee and a high dynamic price. This gives a lot of information on the depth of demand.

This works for anything tangible. Like hotels and restaurants. People can get tables at fancy resultants because if they reserve off peak, the menu price is +0%. At peak times, the menu price could be +100% (or whatever). Now that good restaurant gets to serve more people, make more money, support their servers and cooks better, and overall monetize their resources higher and more consistently.

Here is where emergence kicks in: This is how a free market provides charity. Currently, a gov robs Peter at gun point to pay Paul. Ramifications:

  • The more Paul is a victim, or plays victim, the more money he gets. Rewarding victimhood is stupid, unless you want a lot of dependent people milling around doing nothing outwitting to vote themselves more of Peter’s money.
  • Peter gets money stolen from him at gun point. The whole system is then predicated on the initial condition of theft at gun point. It will never run well.
  • Peter has no say in how its used. Limiting options is limiting the intelligence of the whole system.
  • There will be a bureaucracy created for how much money “should” be stolen, who it gets doled out too, who can decide who gets it, and mismanaging all the problems and fraud created by an initial condition of theft.
  • Very roughly, bureaucracies waste 75% of money they collect. Groups are supposed to “add value”!
  • Obviously a group that subtracts value can’t compete with a group that actually adds value, so the losers force compliance. That necessitates a lot of laws, so they can be broken enough to justify lots of force. Laws work ok at a medium scale: in a mostly homogenous culture where the rate of change is not fast because they provide a some transparency and friction. But small groups don’t need them, and at a big groups have too much non linearity to be managed by linear laws.

The reason bureaucracies are dumb, is because they limit options at many steps. They are branded “soul killing” because as options dwindle, eventually, the only option left is death.

In Castpoints, sellers of tangible things can offer lower prices for a number of reasons. A sale, a grand opening, or just because they feel like it. In this example the Dr could have a flat fee of 10 because she wants to be able to help everyone. And everyone knows that the clients paying the high fees are subsidizing these low fee people. But the high fee payers pay are happy. They get a good service fast. Its worth it. If not, they can get in the flat fee line, or use a different Dr. Actually, they might place an order to be seen now for the acute condition and also the flat fee line for a 3 month tune up. This helps not create a class system.

In other words Peter decides to offer stuff to Paul when it works for Peter. Paul has less resources in that area, but can still participate in a win-win transaction.

  • Paul does not have to play victim. Paul can just make a request. Dignity is intact.
  • A subclass does not need to form. People are all participating on the same level playing field. (For all those well meaning people who keep trying, and of course failing, at legislating “equality”, here you go.)
  • Because bureaucracy is not parasitizing, about 4 times the amount of “charity” is available.
  • Although this “charity” is peer 2 peer, its not gross and low energy. All transactions are win-win.

The Next Phase in Financial Services: What Low-income Americans Tell Us “…They jerry rig their own social safety nets.” People have transactions no matter what. Money is only one resource. Castpoints provides a framework so that people with little money can still transact safely, effectively, and build reputation.

Emergent dynamic commerce is antifragile. The more an economy is blowing up, the better Castpoints works to keep it working. In a natural disaster, expert allocation of resources can begin immediately. People are often traumatized, and can’t think. That’s okay. Trusted people away from the disaster can manage things. Locals can just do tasks without worry about making bad decisions, nor being exploited. That is powerful.

Typically in a disaster, there is a demand that prices for say propane don’t rise. People don’t want to be “gouged”. Ignorant: Immediately, even though demand for propane is high, supply is zero because existing local supply is very valuable and people are not going to part with it for yesterday’s price. And the gov spends resources passing a law, enforcing it, and prosecuting it. Gov makes a black market. Now the price is much higher because it includes the risk of being caught. Way to go gov!

Instead, if prices just float, people can arbitrate the high local cost with the normal non local cost. You don’t need to coordinate 10’s of people and trucks. It will just happen. The market, even though very stressed, will still function and provide propane. So people won’t like the prices. They have options. Either wait a few days, or have a errata can of propane on hand if you live in a natural disaster area or its winter. We don’t need continuity of gov, we want continuity of commerce. In this case so that even if propane costs 10 times normal, we can at least buy some to keep our 90 year old mom warm.

Also, in Castpoints, if I see that my friends got caught short in a disaster, I can place an order to get resources to them. My money won’t be going to some misnamed “non profit” that really launders 90% of donations. My money goes directly into that local economy, putting people to work doing stuff that is actually valuable. I can see an order for clearing rubble from a specific place and pay someone to do it. In fact, a non expert can easily see accurate ETA’s and costs, and cost associated with the whole clean up in real time. Not because some bureaucracy interviews people and publicness guesses 3 weeks later. But from real time aggregations of what needs to be done.

Compare that system to fait debt based currency system. When banks get in trouble, they call in loans. Well, the loan holders are probably stressed too and can’t pay. So a small problem can implode a whole bank or worse. Idiotic, unless drama is highly valued. Oh, and it costs 392 quadrillion to illegally bail out a 10 million bank.

So, by correctly structuring a market with a few extremely simple rules, this is what emerges:

  • Resources are allocated much more efficiently, without fancy algorithms requiring PhD’s to understand.
  • All participants can tell they are treated fairly, and there is no class system.
  • The market itself is antifragile. It doesn’t break under stress, it actually becomes better. Costly and unjust overhead is not needed. Since its not based on debt (leverage), price swings don’t wreck things. Since all orders are limit orders, there are really no flash crashes.

Updated Feb 7 2015
How much do you give to charity? Probably about 2% of your income. Do you think you would give more if you could direct and see you money being put to good use? You could easily double or triple your giving.

National Philanthropic Trust says in 2013, the largest source of charitable giving came from individuals at $241 billion, or 72% of total giving; followed by foundations ($50 billion/15%), bequests ($27 billion/8%), and corporations ($17 billion/5%).

Imagine the impact it could have not being parasitized by bureaucracy. Imagine how many little nooks and crannies that are constantly overlooked would be filled.

Related: Dynamic pricing: The death of big data for marketing and decisions 

 

Scientific breakthrough: Technical advantages of codifying evolution for practical use

Background: Society is a complex adaptive system. These have about 3 simple initial conditions that when iterated, create all the complexity we see life. (Energy only needs: 2 wavelength, amplitude. Matter only needs 3: electron, proton, and neutron) So poverty, corruption, etc. are not “problems”, simply manifestations of the initial conditions. Trying to “solve” poverty at the manifestation level will never work long term. The real change comes from using different initial conditions. What evolution uses in simple terms: Private property, tangible relationships that have a local scope, intangible relationships that have an infinite scope and are filtered 3 ways (source, receiver, enroute). And self configuring context (classification).

1) The classification system provides a local reference point so that things can be compared in relationship. This is where local statistics are kept. From here, statistics can easily, with privacy intact, be aggregated up to higher levels. Without boundaries and context, things are just a mish mash. This allows localization and globalization to coexist well.

CP’s system is self adapting in real time based on supply and demand, not opinion. This is a critical point. There are lots of taxonomies. Many are disputed, change – yet change slowly, and are other’s intellectual property. In CP, if a big event happens, a highly ranked participant can just make a new top level group which can flower into a whole ecosystem in seconds. At the same time, participants can happily micro manage arcane details 7 levels down. Groups that have little value automatically are pruned.

The importance of this usefulness can not be understated. All the different taxonomies can happily live in one data base, with universal nomenclature based on what has value, not based on ponderous committee fait. All taxa can be compared based on any variable. Everyone can view realtime global maps of: values, disease, construction, money flow, people flow, jobs, weather, water, electricity, power, flowers, potatoes, open space, pollen, anything, including comparing methods. Current values, and historical rates of change. 

Taxonomy gives context. Almost everything in life is in relationship, yet search engine results are a list, ranked by mystery, with near zero context. CP’s generalized taxonomy can handle any amount, kind, and type of classification. Anything in, on, and above the Earth, can be located, described, valued, managed, and traded. Even automatically.

Once stuff has standardized and accepted descriptions, it can be readily traded. The classification and one line description convey about 75% of the important information. Tags can be used to describe the rest. If it turns out that a tag is important, it naturally moves up into the description, or even the classification based on supply and demand, not opinion.

What if you don’t know the best classification? Just re-register (1 click) the item twice (or more), pick a different classification and see which one gets more ROI. Market testing is easy.

Because everything has a classification, data from any tag can be aggregated up the hierarchy. It becomes trivial to know how many fire hydrants are covered by snow at any scope from neighborhood to world. How many trees per acre, community gardens, acres of corn planted, acres of corn scheduled for planting, soil moisture percent, anything.

2) Abstraction allows for comparison of different taxa, and their data. The value of anything can be compared. Specifically options when making a decision. If a task has a 2 options of execution, wouldn’t it be nice to know:

  • Option A will likely take 10% of people for a day, and cost 0.5% of capital.
  • Option B will likely take 2% of people for a day, and cost 2% of capital.

If we have more time than money, or more money than time, the correct choice becomes trivial. Most decision makers don’t have near this level support.

3) Content is mostly separated from context. Facebook tries to do both and its a mess. CP is mostly about managing connections and context. Intelligence comes more from the connections, not the content. Example: A mason can build stuff without support. But if she has support, she can spend the majority of her resources on doing what she does best, not dealing with HR, sales, etc. Also, “context is often more powerful than content”. (David Hawkins) Root word of intelligence is “understand” who’s roots are “choose between”.

4) A silly, but real, advantage is that people rarely understand that commerce can be drastically simpler and more direct. Even so called peer 2 peer companies really only have 1 or 2 variables p2p. Conflict resolution, support, marketing, development, payment processing, and funding, are all still centrally controlled by non experts. People just don’t understand that 3 to 4 initial conditions can create all the complexity in our society. The focus should be on those 3 or 4 things, not on the results of those things.

5) When this much integration is present, valuable emergent properties abound. This can not be understated. The more emergence, the more a system can solve problems at its own level. This is why nature does not have a queen of the trees, or king of the sand on a beach. Fiat is not required to get things done.

One example is that basic statistics (number, rate of change, min, max, avg, supply and demand, standard deviation) about anything public are available in near real time at any scope and location. Yet it costs almost nothing to input, collate, visualize, distribute, and find it.

6) Communicating how evolution communicates solves info overwhelm, and separates the wheat from the chaff. To this day, in 2014, we still can’t get good search results because search engines can’t tell what context we are looking for.

7) Like a stock market, supply AND demand is always shown. Most sites only show supply. How can people allocate resources if they have to guess at demand? The situational awareness is too one sided. Its quite nihilistic to always see the flood of supply and not demand. It models imbalance.

8) Privacy and ownership, foundations of prosperity, are sacrosanct. If you don’t own something, you can’t easily make money off of it. People come up with all kinds of arguments why they can steal other’s stuff. None of it works long term, except with wards.

9) Things are based on contracts not laws. Its simple: contracts are agreements (win-win [power]), law is force (win-lose, or lose-lose).

  • People hate being told what to do. If its mostly “just”, people put up with it. But laws creates resentment, monopolies, black markets, and passive aggressiveness. None of those adds to prosperity.
  • People have no idea what’s good for others. Even if they did, they don’t have to experience the consequence of the decision.

10) Events have their own local statuses, location, classifications, etc. Most work happens within a standard set of descriptions that are repeatedly used. There are different statuses for the medical field verses the advertising field, verses the building field. Only an event’s pertinant statuses (etc.) show up in an event’s lists. Yet, access to global classifications is a click away.

11) Next business steps are automatically suggested. Your event is matched with aggregated histories of high ROI events. So when a proven successful company allocated resources and it worked out well, you receive suggestions when your event matches the same pattern. Optionally, within limits, these suggestions are automatically implemented: Events can adapt automatically.

12) Tangible processes are different than intangible processes. This sounds blazingly obvious, yet search engines don’t make this primal distinction.

13) Notifications Because everything has a classification and relationship, anything, can be pushed based on the normal triggers of “add, edit, delete, <, >”, but also all those at any scale.