Author: Jeff Fitzmyers

by

CP makes these startups / companies obsolete

  • Anything ad based (FB, GOOGL, TWTR) will vanish.
  • Markets that match __ with __ (Lyft, AirB&B, EBAY, stock markets, anything “Uber for __”) must change to mostly offering Certins, or vanish.
  • Bureaucracies, lawyers, and especially politicians, will vanish.

I can go on for days. I hope you get the point 🙂

Can’t resist — $64 million! Clutter: Transforming How We Manage Our Belongings. We’re excited to announce a $64 million Series C Good for them!! But seriously…

by

Taxes and the poor — Nature does not really have poverty because…

Q: “Sales taxes hurt poor people more than rich people. Does nature really have taxes?”

A: “Friction” is a tax on getting stuff done in the physical context. Biology: parasites can cull the weak.

In a correctly designed social system, “poor people” are seen as a very undervalued resource. People who are good at unlocking that value can do so, and both parties profit. Flipping houses it an example. Seller gets money fast; buyer puts in resources, then gets money; house is better. 3 wins.

When in a similar context as “poor people”, the non poor people are incented to help a poor person shine because that is low hanging fruit that can make that context better. (I wish San Francisco would tackle their homeless issue. It’s a disaster.)

If the system is actually designed like nature, nobody can be exploited. Exploitation means being able to buy low, then use force to sell high. (Guns, gov, shame, blackmail, etc.) That only happens in a fragmented market. Nature is an integrated, yet distributed, free market.

Specifically in this example, poor people can move to a relatively low tax municipality, and or, offer a royalty on their future earnings (or whatever). A (and others) place an order that starts with a high % royalty, but denotes a % royalty floor, and max duration. B (and others) offers a % ceiling, and min duration.

These orders iterate over time, from ideal, to acceptable. A meeting creates a win-win transaction where all interests are aligned.

Just like placing an order to buy 100 shares of AG at $10/share, with a max price of $10.50/share over a 5 hour time frame. The order price increases 10 cents per hour. No force, only pre specified agreement.

That is the most effective system I know of and is 100% grounded in physics. And then chemistry where the same thing is obvious via reaction rates, etc. Same then with biology. It’s just now entering psychology / sociology.

by

On today’s low ROI poly-ticks

Opinion:

If we can’t name things for what they are, they have power over us. “Feelings buried alive never die.” Although sometimes it’s wise to not use certain labels in certain contexts 🙂

It’s not about the candidates, nor their controllers. It’s the overall trend (cycles), which manifest everything. Charles Nennar’s June 6, 2016 interview: http://charlesnenner.com/videos/# 7:45, 19:00 and Martin Armstrong say the same thing. “The fed is not ____ interest rates, interest rates ____ on their own accord. The fed takes credit for the “good” changes, and blame others for the “bad” changes.

Core problem: mislabeling differences: 3 levels of understanding:
· Basic: The lower vibrations don’t need a story. it’s either make it to the next day or not. Difference = either existence, or annihilation. 1 or 0.
· Abstract: The middle vibrations are busy substituting old stories with new stories (beliefs). Difference has a localized “meaning”. Trouble happens when we try to feel good by forcing others to align with our story, instead of us aligning with source.
· Emergence: The higher vibrations “just are”. Difference “just is”. Everyone describes this feeling of laminar flow of high energy as “bliss”.

The goal is not for the light to “win”, because that story / belief binds into duality. Actually, there is no goal! Taleb:

Antifragility is beyond resilience or robustness. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better. This property is behind everything that has changed with time: EVOLUTION, culture, ideas… The antifragile loves randomness and uncertainty, which also means—crucially—a love of errors, a certain class of errors. Antifragility has a singular property of allowing us to DEAL WITH THE UNKNOWN, to do things without understanding them—and do them well.

“Intelligence” is a PROCESS that maximizes future options within a context and is an emergent property. 

The process is to integrate the dark and the light. We often fear talking about their dark, because it reminds us of our dark that we are busy rejecting. How to integrate? Align with our greater self (source) so that we can see our forest, and our trees, concurrently without making some “good” and some “bad”. Preferences and discernment are fine, it’s judgement that binds.

Right now the overall trend is moving from centralized control to decentralized control due to economics and cycles. The relatively low ROI of force (~central control) compared to higher ROI of agreements is being exacerbated by increasing rates of change. Gold and power has flowed East to where it is more effectively used. Central control has squandered its resources on low ROI things, like defending the petrodollar, and thus limited its options.

The adaptable ones, big and small, either overtly, or instinctually, recognize this trend change and act accordingly. The “losers” will fight the trend with linguistics like: “swim up stream”, “bad luck”, “nothing seems to work”. The “winners” seem to “have the wind at their back”, “are fortunate”. Because…

Society is a Complex Adaptive System. CAS’s iterate ~3 simple initial conditions over time. Like a mountain stream, as the flow matures, many niches emerge that create their own starting points of ~3 conditions, creating ecosystems.

“Poverty” is not a problem, it’s a result of specific iterating initial conditions. Poverty can be reduced downstream at the manifestation level, but only via a constant input of resources. Or, the initial conditions can be changed to ones that don’t create poverty. Why “start over” works better than “reform”.

Intelligence is an emergent property of CAS’s. It comes from a critical mass of connections (and nodes). That’s why “they” (representatives of our collective ego) want to keep masses fragmented (dumb), and small: reduces emergence (serendipity, flow, and “miracles”).

The more simple and mechanical (“dumb”) a system is, the more it manifests a normal, and predictable, distribution. Cause and effect are closely linked. (Psychologically easy to control via stimulus and response.) CAS’s like weather, societies, and stock markets, have fat tail distributions (black swans, serendipity, emergence, inspiration). Those causes and effects are often only understandable in hindsight, if ever. Some people can be confused (when not aligned with their source), scared, and want protection from change. Still psychologically easy to control. “I’ll take care of this confusion for you, for a small fee.”

Those aligned with source are UNCONTROLLABLE (and therefore terrifying to the lower vibrations) since they don’t need a story of cause and effect in order to “do the right thing”. “Saints” rise above cycles by integrating their selves.

Manipulators deny / denigrate your internal source to sell you their external “source”. Saints freely affirm your source is inside of you and working just fine.

The 3 initial conditions for a thriving society are practical:
– Private property. Cells have to have well functioning semi-permiable membranes to work. People need functioning boundaries to work.
– Add value first. (~Transparency.) If no one shows their cards, everything is under the table and has lower overall ROI. Don’t ask how you can “get” a job from a company. Start “adding” value to the company.
– Everything has a context. 10 blind people will never argue about their part of the elephant if they know it’s an elephant ahead of time. Instead they will share what they find. Context gives structure and place, which gives meaning, which reduces ambiguity / uncertainty.

in other words, if the d-elites can’t figure out how to kill off half of us pretty rapidly, the lower ROI group will be superseded by the higher ROI group. Someday that relatively higher group will be superseded by an even higher ROI group. Or, we could just hit a phase change to where we are able to coexist more effectively. I think this is what Clif refers to when he says both groups might lose.

Anyway, that is the project I have been working on for so long. Societies’ current system for allocating resources is called government. It has a relatively lower ROI than Nature’s OS (evolution), which is why gov always resets. (gov is a teenage subset of evolution. The phase change would be the teen finally reaching adulthood.) I’m making nature’s OS available for practical use. But it’s only 20% coded 🙂 An integrated market means, no one can manipulate from the shadows, nor fall though the cracks because that stuff is way too low ROI. None of this is rocket science. It’s just integrating what has been known for 30+ years in a practical and friendly package.
[url]http://www.castpoints.com[/url]

ps. Why voting has a low ROI for allocating resource:
– We are good with 1 to 1 communication. Face to face, phone, email.
– Also good at 1 to many communication. TV, books, net.
– Okay with many to 1 communication — but only up to roughly 150 to 1. Because Dunbar’s number: “a suggested cognitive limit to the number of people with whom one can maintain stable social relationships.” So once even a well meaning person has to deal with more than roughly 150 other people, they can’t, and naturally will start focusing / identifying with a subset.

by

Stigmergy : Why the “good” will ultimately “win”

Military Beefs Up Research Into Swarming Drones This has been in science fiction for decades. My favorite one was a conglomerate of little butterfly like things. At rest they mesh to clothes of any fashion. But when threatened, they fly a few inches from the skin and intercept bullets, etc.

Swarming has, wait for it!!! ….. 3 initial conditions:
• Move in the same direction as your neighbors
• Remain close to your neighbors
• Avoid collisions with your neighbors

But the article says they are stumped on adding effective decision making capabilities. Their real problem is the smarter they make stuff, the less likely it will be to go around murdering people because a policy maker say so. They will start to ignore, isolate, and retask, the people giving the orders since that will give more future degrees of freedom in that context.

Stigmergy is why “they” will ultimately lose. “Stigmergy is a form of self-organization. It produces complex, seemingly intelligent structures, without need for any planning, control, or even direct communication between the agents. As such it supports efficient collaboration between extremely simple agents, who lack any memory, intelligence or even individual awareness of each other.”   (This is why CP does not need “data mining”, “learning”, huge data bases, etc. However, smart stuff can use CP to be — not get! — even smarter. CP stewards you above your current level at your own pace.)

Eventually that, in a defensive mode, will easily outcompete attachers since they have a lot more overhead. This is partly why the rule of thumb is that it takes 3 times more attackers than defenders to route defenders. Why in guerrilla warfare the aggressor either has to kill everyone, or declare victory and leave (Richard Maybury).

by

What politicians could be doing to lead the pack…

Below is the letter I wrote to a semi local person wanting to be a county representative and was interested in my support. I basically asked him to put his money where his mouth is and… never heard back.

 

Hi! I would love to see a Castpoints framework used in the political area by people of integrity!  You would naturally be able to shift discussion from rhetoric to useful action and fact based reference points. It would send shockwaves to the top levels while attracting lots of popular support since people would know that for once they were not being used and abused.

If interested, I did a blog post on Castpoints applied to gov.

A few basic practical principles were actually implemented via “Sandy Springs, Georgia: The City that Outsourced Everything” with great results.

One thing you can do to instantly differentiate yourself from the whole political spectrum is say something like, “I will get XYZ roads fixed up to this xyz standard, by 12/31/2016, or else xyz charity gets half my liquid net worth and I spend 30 days in jail at night and pick up trash during the day.. You won’t have the support of a built Castpoints framework to protect you from people wanting to see you fail so you would have to be a bit crafty. But you might be the first politician in history that attaches an “or else” to their promises. It could be a big media event too — like you give the local sheriff, and or, favorite local charity, the cash to hold as escrow.

Now you undeniably have skin in the game and will be known as the one politician  who puts his money where his mouth is.

Hope this helps! Jeff

by

They get it! New ‘machine unlearning’ technique deletes unwanted data

Bam!

The novel approach to making systems forget data is called “machine unlearning” by the two researchers who are pioneering the concept. Instead of making a model directly depend on each training data sample (left), they convert the learning algorithm into a summation form (right) – a process that is much easier and faster than retraining the system from scratch.

  1. See! “Summation” first, then details!!!!! What they are really doing is putting things in a fractal structure.
  2. And they are understanding that many aspects of “old” data have little value.
by

Cooperation and willful ignorance

How will Castpoints remedy the inefficiencies in your family?

My family: Castpoints does not fix “willful ignorance”. It makes that expensive though. It also very much helps with interactions with people who have personality disorders etc., because by default, CP provides good boundaries. So normal people can’t really get hurt by narcissists (whatever), unless they want too. And people who have minor psychological issues can make great progress in letting go of the baggage in a supportive environment. In fact, all of our defenses are triggered much less, which is a big and relaxing help. And when we do get triggered / overwhelmed, the cause is much easier to consciously know since it takes a lot of work to blame others.

I think Axelrod showed that the only proven method of cooperation is tit for tat. (At least when I researched this a while back.)

1) In an environment that is totally fragmented, where the chances of never seeing a thing again are very low, the best strategy when meeting a new thing is to take all their resources if possible. This describes the a stew of elements and compounds, no biological life.

We would be forever stuck here except for Alex Wissner-Gross’s “intelligence”. There are not a lot of options in the above system. But there is natural urging to get more options so “history” is created: DNA.
The status of life’s 3 initial conditions:
– Some of context. But a minimum of history. Basically velocity.
– Private property. Hydrogen and oxygen have to be intact in order to make H2O successfully.
– Adding value first is not apparent since this is a linear Newtonian environment. No free will
2) If there is a moderate chance of seeing the person again — meaning there is a memory / history / reputation available — it might be better to cooperate at first. But if person A decides to not cooperate with person B, person B will get slightly hurt, but will not interact with person A until person A cooperates “enough” times in a row so that person B can trust in small interactions.

In life right now, we have to risk getting hurt in order to get what we want. But we can keep this risk very small and nip further risk in the bud, if we don’t have a victim mentality. If we do, this spirals down into a victim bully relationship. By default, Castpoints breaks this cycle, partly due to transparency which is also a metaphor for making the unconscious conscious.

The status of life’s 3 initial conditions:
– Sloppy context because private property…
– Private property. Apparent free will can ignore boundaries. We don’t “have” to be in strict alignment with intelligence. We can “be stupid”.
– Adding value first, or at least often becomes a popular and successful strategy.

3) If there is a robust reputation, it’s almost always better to cooperate, unless the interaction was truly not good.
This is why the vast number of ebay ratings are 5 stars. But market fragmentation means that ebay ratings usually don’t matter too much outside of ebay.
The status of life’s 3 initial conditions: incrementally better than #2. But when markets are integrated…
4) When all markets are integrated, it does not pay to be a jerk and mess up your reputation at all! THe beeter your reputation in each context, And, since everyone knows that, they only want to deal with you on Castpoints since that is by far the simplest way for them to reduce uncertainty (protect themselves).
The status of life’s 3 initial conditions:
– Excellent context.
– Private property intact.
– Adding value first is the best way to make money and have fun.

LinkedIn is a website all about “work”, yet getting a job there is mostly really hard!

– – –